TY - BOOK AU - Shalini Kadavill (91617014) TI - Time series analysis and forecasting of global indices KW - TIME SERIES ANALYSIS KW - ARIMA KW - AUTOREGRESSIVE INTEGRATED MOVING AVERAGE N1 - The aim of the study is to create an analysis tool that aids in the formulation of a true global currency. The huge volatility of the digital currencies and the dominance of a few fiat currencies worldwide have made it difficult to use digital currency in real-world use cases. The project seeks to create a token/currency which is less volatile compared to other crypto assets, reflects the global economy, and not mandated by any specific government. In order to meet the above, we need to have a token which is pegged against a price basket. The constituents of this basket would be a true reflection of the global economy. The time series forecasting methods used are the classical method of ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) and a modern approach with the Prophet library. The efficient frontier algorithm is used to create a minimum volatility basket of indices ER -